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Ajax vs Atalanta prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Atalanta to win.

Ajax35%
Draw26%
Atalanta39%

Most likely score: 1–2

  • Over 2.5 goals67%
  • Both teams to score64%
  • Double chance: Ajax or Atalanta74%

Match preview

Ajax host Atalanta in a UEFA Europa Conference League match on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 19:00 UTC at Johan Cruijff Arena. Our model makes Atalanta the favourite, with a 39% chance of winning, against 26% for the draw and 35% for Ajax. The most likely scoreline is 1–2. Ajax have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Atalanta have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5.

Ajax: last 5 results

  • Wat Groningen5–2
  • Lat HNK Hajduk Split1–2
  • Dvs NEC Nijmegen1–1
  • Dvs Excelsior2–2
  • Wvs Willem II5–1

Atalanta: last 5 results

  • Lat AC Milan2–3
  • Wvs Pafos3–1
  • Wvs Venezia3–1
  • Lat Juventus0–2
  • Lvs Cagliari1–2
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Thu 22 Oct 19:00 UTC.