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Alaves vs Malaga prediction

La Liga · Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Alaves to win.

Alaves52%
Draw27%
Malaga21%

Most likely score: 2–0

  • Under 2.5 goals54%
  • Not both teams to score53%
  • Double chance: Alaves or draw79%

Match preview

Alaves host Malaga in a La Liga match on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 UTC at Estadio Mendizorrotza. Our model makes Alaves the favourite, with a 52% chance of winning, against 27% for the draw and 21% for Malaga. The most likely scoreline is 2–0. Alaves have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. Malaga have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.

Alaves: last 5 results

  • Lat Celta Vigo1–2
  • Lvs Atletico Madrid1–2
  • Dat Athletic Club0–0
  • Lvs Valencia0–1
  • Lat Racing Santander1–2

Malaga: last 5 results

  • Lvs Real Sociedad2–5
  • Dvs Espanyol1–1
  • Lat Getafe0–1
  • Lvs Villarreal1–3
  • Dat Celta Vigo1–1
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Fri 23 Oct 19:00 UTC.