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Arouca vs Estrela prediction

Primeira Liga · Sunday, 11 October 2026, 19:30 UTC · Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Aruca

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Arouca to win.

Arouca46%
Draw27%
Estrela27%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals70%
  • Both teams to score69%
  • Double chance: Arouca or Estrela73%
  • Under 9.5 corners64%

Match preview

Arouca host Estrela in a Primeira Liga match on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 19:30 UTC at Estádio Municipal de Arouca. Our model makes Arouca the favourite, with a 46% chance of winning, against 27% for the draw and 27% for Estrela. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Arouca have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Estrela have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5.

Arouca: last 5 results

  • Dat Sporting CP2–2
  • Lvs Santa Clara1–2
  • Dat Estoril0–0
  • Wvs Maritimo2–1
  • Lat FC Porto0–2

Estrela: last 5 results

  • Lvs Academico Viseu0–2
  • Dat Rio Ave3–3
  • Wvs SC Braga2–1
  • Dvs Famalicao2–2
  • Wat Nacional3–2
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct 19:30 UTC.