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Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction

Premier League · Saturday, 24 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · Villa Park, Birmingham

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Manchester City to win.

Aston Villa21%
Draw24%
Manchester City55%

Most likely score: 1–2

  • Over 2.5 goals51%
  • Both teams to score51%
  • Double chance: Draw or Manchester City79%
  • Over 9.5 corners55%

Match preview

Aston Villa host Manchester City in a Premier League match on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 11:30 UTC at Villa Park. Our model makes Manchester City the favourite, with a 55% chance of winning, against 24% for the draw and 21% for Aston Villa. The most likely scoreline is 1–2. Aston Villa have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5. Manchester City have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5.

Aston Villa: last 5 results

  • Wat Newcastle1–0
  • Wvs Fenerbahçe6–0
  • Dvs Brentford2–2
  • Wat Sevilla3–1
  • Wat Tottenham3–2

Manchester City: last 5 results

  • Wvs AEK Athens FC5–1
  • Wvs Ipswich3–2
  • Lvs Paris Saint Germain2–4
  • Wat Liverpool3–0
  • Wvs Sunderland5–3
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sat 24 Oct 11:30 UTC.