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Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United prediction

UEFA Champions League · Tuesday, 13 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Atletico Madrid to win.

Atletico Madrid46%
Draw25%
Manchester United29%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals72%
  • Both teams to score68%
  • Double chance: Atletico Madrid or Manchester United75%

Match preview

Atletico Madrid host Manchester United in a UEFA Champions League match on Tuesday, 13 October 2026 at 19:00 UTC at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Our model makes Atletico Madrid the favourite, with a 46% chance of winning, against 25% for the draw and 29% for Manchester United. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Atletico Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5. Manchester United have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5.

Atletico Madrid: last 5 results

  • Wat Alaves2–1
  • Wvs Real Madrid2–1
  • Wvs Osasuna4–0
  • Wat Real Sociedad3–0
  • Lat Liverpool1–2

Manchester United: last 5 results

  • Dvs Tottenham1–1
  • Dat Fulham1–1
  • Lvs Brighton2–3
  • Lvs Manchester City0–1
  • Wvs Sabah FA4–0
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Tue 13 Oct 19:00 UTC.