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Atletico-MG vs Coritiba prediction

Serie A · Saturday, 17 October 2026, 21:30 UTC · MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Atletico-MG to win.

Atletico-MG62%
Draw23%
Coritiba15%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals54%
  • Both teams to score57%
  • Double chance: Atletico-MG or draw85%
  • Over 9.5 corners64%

Match preview

Atletico-MG host Coritiba in a Serie A match on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 21:30 UTC at MRV Arena. Our model makes Atletico-MG the favourite, with a 62% chance of winning, against 23% for the draw and 15% for Coritiba. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Atletico-MG have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5. Coritiba have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.

Atletico-MG: last 5 results

  • Wvs Santos2–1
  • Dat Atletico Paranaense2–2
  • Wvs RB Bragantino1–0
  • Dvs Chapecoense-sc1–1
  • Wvs Santos4–2

Coritiba: last 5 results

  • Dvs Botafogo1–1
  • Lat Fluminense0–4
  • Lat Vasco DA Gama0–5
  • Dvs Atletico Paranaense3–3
  • Lvs Mirassol1–2
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sat 17 Oct 21:30 UTC.