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Atletico-MG vs Santos prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 11 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta

Full time

Atletico-MG 2–1 Santos

Our pick (Atletico-MG) was correct.

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Atletico-MG to win.

Atletico-MG46%
Draw27%
Santos27%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals60%
  • Both teams to score62%
  • Double chance: Atletico-MG or Santos73%
  • Over 9.5 corners64%

Match preview

Atletico-MG host Santos in a Serie A match on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 19:00 UTC at Arena MRV. Our model makes Atletico-MG the favourite, with a 46% chance of winning, against 27% for the draw and 27% for Santos. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Atletico-MG have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5. Santos have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.

Atletico-MG: last 5 results

  • Dat Atletico Paranaense2–2
  • Wvs RB Bragantino1–0
  • Dvs Chapecoense-sc1–1
  • Wvs Santos4–2
  • Wvs Fluminense3–1

Santos: last 5 results

  • Dvs Flamengo2–2
  • Wat Sao Paulo2–1
  • Wat Remo2–1
  • Lat Atletico-MG2–4
  • Wvs Cruzeiro2–1
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct 19:00 UTC.