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Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras prediction

Serie A · Saturday, 17 October 2026, 22:30 UTC · Arena da Baixada, Curitiba

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Palmeiras to win.

Atletico Paranaense33%
Draw30%
Palmeiras37%

Most likely score: 0–1

  • Under 2.5 goals61%
  • Not both teams to score54%
  • Double chance: Atletico Paranaense or Palmeiras70%
  • Over 9.5 corners73%

Match preview

Atletico Paranaense host Palmeiras in a Serie A match on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 22:30 UTC at Arena da Baixada. Our model makes Palmeiras the favourite, with a 37% chance of winning, against 30% for the draw and 33% for Atletico Paranaense. The most likely scoreline is 0–1. Atletico Paranaense have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Palmeiras have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.

Atletico Paranaense: last 5 results

  • Wat Chapecoense-sc4–1
  • Dvs Atletico-MG2–2
  • Wvs Bahia2–1
  • Dat Coritiba3–3
  • Lat Cruzeiro1–3

Palmeiras: last 5 results

  • Wat Fluminense2–1
  • Wvs Corinthians4–1
  • Wvs Bahia1–0
  • Dat Gremio0–0
  • Lat LDU de Quito2–3
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sat 17 Oct 22:30 UTC.