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Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction

La Liga · Sunday, 25 October 2026, 20:00 UTC · Camp Nou, Barcelona

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Barcelona to win.

Barcelona61%
Draw19%
Real Madrid20%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals66%
  • Both teams to score61%
  • Double chance: Barcelona or Real Madrid81%
  • Over 9.5 corners69%

Match preview

Barcelona host Real Madrid in a La Liga match on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 20:00 UTC at Camp Nou. Our model makes Barcelona the favourite, with a 61% chance of winning, against 19% for the draw and 20% for Real Madrid. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Barcelona have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5. Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5.

Barcelona: last 5 results

  • Lat Paris Saint Germain2–4
  • Wat Real Betis5–2
  • Wat Galatasaray4–1
  • Wvs Getafe3–0
  • Wat Sevilla3–1

Real Madrid: last 5 results

  • Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
  • Wvs Sevilla4–1
  • Wat AS Roma4–3
  • Wvs Villarreal1–0
  • Lat Atletico Madrid1–2
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sun 25 Oct 20:00 UTC.