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Burgos Promesas vs UD Santa Marta prediction

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · Sunday, 11 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

Full time

Burgos Promesas 1–1 UD Santa Marta

Our pick (Burgos Promesas) was not correct.

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Burgos Promesas to win (limited data this season, so treat it with caution).

Burgos Promesas52%
Draw26%
UD Santa Marta22%

Most likely score: 2–0

  • Under 2.5 goals55%
  • Not both teams to score53%
  • Double chance: Burgos Promesas or draw78%

Match preview

Burgos Promesas host UD Santa Marta in a Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 match on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 10:00 UTC. Our model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite, with a 52% chance of winning, against 26% for the draw and 22% for UD Santa Marta. There is limited data on these teams this season, so this is a lower-confidence call. Burgos Promesas have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5. UD Santa Marta have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5.

Burgos Promesas: last 5 results

  • Wat Mirandés II2–1
  • Dat Cultural Leonesa II0–0
  • Wvs Palencia CF3–0
  • Wat Colegios Diocesanos3–0
  • Wvs Villaralbo1–0

UD Santa Marta: last 5 results

  • Wvs Cultural Leonesa II2–0
  • Lvs Salamanca UDS1–2
  • Lat Palencia CF0–3
  • Wvs Colegios Diocesanos3–0
  • Wvs Bergantiños1–0
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct 10:00 UTC.