Derby vs Stoke City prediction
Championship · Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · Pride Park, Derby
Our prediction
Our model's pick: Derby to win.
Derby37%
Draw30%
Stoke City33%
Most likely score: 1–0
- Under 2.5 goals53%
- Both teams to score53%
- Double chance: Derby or Stoke City70%
- Over 9.5 corners64%
Match preview
Derby host Stoke City in a Championship match on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:00 UTC at Pride Park. Our model makes Derby the favourite, with a 37% chance of winning, against 30% for the draw and 33% for Stoke City. The most likely scoreline is 1–0. Derby have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. Stoke City have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Derby: last 5 results
- Lat QPR1–4
- Dvs Wrexham1–1
- Dat Burnley1–1
- Lvs Birmingham1–2
- Lvs West Brom0–1
Stoke City: last 5 results
- Lvs Middlesbrough2–3
- Wat Bolton2–1
- Wvs Sheffield Utd2–1
- Wat Watford2–1
- Dat Cardiff1–1
18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sat 17 Oct 14:00 UTC.