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Heerenveen vs Excelsior prediction

Eredivisie · Friday, 16 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Heerenveen to win.

Heerenveen53%
Draw24%
Excelsior23%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals54%
  • Both teams to score58%
  • Double chance: Heerenveen or draw77%
  • Over 9.5 corners55%

Match preview

Heerenveen host Excelsior in a Eredivisie match on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 18:00 UTC at Abe Lenstra Stadion. Our model makes Heerenveen the favourite, with a 53% chance of winning, against 24% for the draw and 23% for Excelsior. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Heerenveen have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. Excelsior have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5.

Heerenveen: last 5 results

  • Lat PSV Eindhoven0–2
  • Wat Sparta Rotterdam4–0
  • Dvs Telstar0–0
  • Lvs AZ Alkmaar2–3
  • Dat Willem II2–2

Excelsior: last 5 results

  • Lvs Groningen1–5
  • Dat Ajax2–2
  • Lvs Utrecht1–2
  • Dat NEC Nijmegen2–2
  • Wat Willem II3–0
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Fri 16 Oct 18:00 UTC.