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HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC · Stadion Poljud, Split

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Ajax to win.

HNK Hajduk Split20%
Draw20%
Ajax60%

Most likely score: 1–2

  • Over 2.5 goals73%
  • Both teams to score72%
  • Double chance: Draw or Ajax80%

Match preview

HNK Hajduk Split host Ajax in a UEFA Europa Conference League match on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 16:45 UTC at Stadion Poljud. Our model makes Ajax the favourite, with a 60% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 20% for HNK Hajduk Split. The most likely scoreline is 1–2. HNK Hajduk Split have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5. Ajax have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5.

HNK Hajduk Split: last 5 results

  • Wvs Dinamo Zagreb2–1
  • Lat HNK Rijeka0–3
  • Wvs NK Slaven Belupo1–0
  • Wat Vardarac2–0
  • Wat Rudes4–0

Ajax: last 5 results

  • Dvs NEC Nijmegen1–1
  • Dvs Excelsior2–2
  • Wvs Willem II5–1
  • Wat Fortuna Sittard5–1
  • Lvs PSV Eindhoven1–3
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Thu 15 Oct 16:45 UTC.