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Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · Chorten Arena, Bialystok

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Jagiellonia to win.

Jagiellonia66%
Draw20%
Ararat-Armenia14%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals53%
  • Both teams to score52%
  • Double chance: Jagiellonia or draw86%

Match preview

Jagiellonia host Ararat-Armenia in a UEFA Europa League match on Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 19:00 UTC at Chorten Arena. Our model makes Jagiellonia the favourite, with a 66% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 14% for Ararat-Armenia. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Jagiellonia have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5. Ararat-Armenia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.

Jagiellonia: last 5 results

  • Lvs Gornik Zabrze1–3
  • Lvs Polonia Warszawa1–2
  • Wvs Suduva Marijampole5–0
  • Lvs Legia Warszawa1–3
  • Lat Olympiakos Piraeus1–2

Ararat-Armenia: last 5 results

  • Dvs Alashkert1–1
  • Wat Ararat4–0
  • Wat Shirak3–1
  • Lvs Sparta Praha1–4
  • Wvs Syunik3–0
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Thu 15 Oct 19:00 UTC.