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Leon vs Toluca prediction

Liga MX · Saturday, 24 October 2026, 23:00 UTC · Estadio León, Leon

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Leon to win (limited data this season, so treat it with caution).

Leon38%
Draw25%
Toluca37%
  • Over 2.5 goals56%
  • Both teams to score59%
  • Double chance: Leon or Toluca75%

Match preview

Leon host Toluca in a Liga MX match on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 23:00 UTC at Estadio León. Our model makes Leon the favourite, with a 38% chance of winning, against 25% for the draw and 37% for Toluca. There is limited data on these teams this season, so this is a lower-confidence call. Leon have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Toluca have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.

Leon: last 5 results

  • Lvs Club America3–5
  • Dat Puebla1–1
  • Wvs FC Juarez2–1
  • Dat Club Queretaro1–1
  • Wvs Atletico San Luis2–0

Toluca: last 5 results

  • Dvs Atletico San Luis1–1
  • Lat Tigres UANL2–3
  • Lat Monterrey1–2
  • Dat Cruz Azul3–3
  • Lvs Santos Laguna2–3
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sat 24 Oct 23:00 UTC.