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Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction

Premier League · Saturday, 17 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · St. James' Park, Newcastle

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Newcastle to win.

Newcastle45%
Draw26%
Aston Villa29%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals64%
  • Both teams to score64%
  • Double chance: Newcastle or Aston Villa74%
  • Over 9.5 corners64%

Match preview

Newcastle host Aston Villa in a Premier League match on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 16:30 UTC at St. James' Park. Our model makes Newcastle the favourite, with a 45% chance of winning, against 26% for the draw and 29% for Aston Villa. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Newcastle have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Aston Villa have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5.

Newcastle: last 5 results

  • Lat Coventry1–4
  • Wvs Hull City2–1
  • Lat Leeds1–4
  • Wat Millwall1–0
  • Dvs Bournemouth2–2

Aston Villa: last 5 results

  • Wvs Fenerbahçe6–0
  • Dvs Brentford2–2
  • Wat Sevilla3–1
  • Wat Tottenham3–2
  • Wat Coventry3–1
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sat 17 Oct 16:30 UTC.