Pafos vs Riga prediction
UEFA Europa Conference League · Thursday, 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC · Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi
Our prediction
Our model's pick: Pafos to win.
Pafos60%
Draw23%
Riga17%
Most likely score: 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals70%
- Both teams to score68%
- Double chance: Pafos or draw83%
Match preview
Pafos host Riga in a UEFA Europa Conference League match on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 16:45 UTC at Alphamega Stadium. Our model makes Pafos the favourite, with a 60% chance of winning, against 23% for the draw and 17% for Riga. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Pafos have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Riga have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5.
Pafos: last 5 results
- Lat Atalanta1–3
- Wat Anorthosis3–1
- Lvs AEL0–2
- Wat AEK Larnaca1–0
- Dvs Olympiakos0–0
Riga: last 5 results
- Wvs Super Nova2–1
- Dvs Kairat Almaty1–1
- Wat Tukums2–0
- Wat Aris2–1
- Wat FS Jelgava1–0
18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Thu 22 Oct 16:45 UTC.