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Palmeiras vs Corinthians prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 11 October 2026, 20:30 UTC · Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Palmeiras to win.

Palmeiras58%
Draw26%
Corinthians16%

Most likely score: 1–0

  • Under 2.5 goals67%
  • Not both teams to score64%
  • Double chance: Palmeiras or draw84%
  • Under 9.5 corners58%

Match preview

Palmeiras host Corinthians in a Serie A match on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 20:30 UTC at Nubank Parque. Our model makes Palmeiras the favourite, with a 58% chance of winning, against 26% for the draw and 16% for Corinthians. The most likely scoreline is 1–0. Palmeiras have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5. Corinthians have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5.

Palmeiras: last 5 results

  • Wvs Bahia1–0
  • Dat Gremio0–0
  • Lat LDU de Quito2–3
  • Wvs Sao Paulo2–0
  • Wvs LDU de Quito1–0

Corinthians: last 5 results

  • Lat Internacional1–2
  • Lvs Fluminense1–3
  • Lvs Estudiantes L.P.0–1
  • Lat Flamengo1–2
  • Dat Estudiantes L.P.1–1
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct 20:30 UTC.