Penarol vs Progreso prediction
Primera División · Saturday, 10 October 2026, 21:30 UTC · Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
Full time
Penarol 1–1 Progreso
Our pick (Penarol) was not correct.
Our prediction
Our model's pick: Penarol to win (limited data this season, so treat it with caution).
Most likely score: 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals60%
- Both teams to score52%
- Double chance: Penarol or draw83%
Match preview
Penarol host Progreso in a Primera División match on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 21:30 UTC at Estadio Centenario. Our model makes Penarol the favourite, with a 63% chance of winning, against 20% for the draw and 17% for Progreso. There is limited data on these teams this season, so this is a lower-confidence call. Penarol have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5. Progreso have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Penarol: last 5 results
- Wat Racing Montevideo1–0
- Dat Atletico Torque1–1
- Wvs Boston River2–1
- Dat Danubio1–1
- Wat Cerro2–1
Progreso: last 5 results
- Lat Liverpool Montevideo2–3
- Wvs Racing Montevideo2–1
- Wat Boston River2–1
- Lvs Club Nacional0–1
- Lvs Cerro1–3
18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sat 10 Oct 21:30 UTC.