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Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights prediction

USL Championship · Sunday, 11 October 2026, 02:00 UTC · Wild Horse Pass Stadium

Full time

Phoenix Rising 3–2 Las Vegas Lights

Our pick (Phoenix Rising) was correct.

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Phoenix Rising to win.

Phoenix Rising50%
Draw24%
Las Vegas Lights26%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals53%
  • Both teams to score55%
  • Double chance: Phoenix Rising or Las Vegas Lights76%

Match preview

Phoenix Rising host Las Vegas Lights in a USL Championship match on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 02:00 UTC at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Our model makes Phoenix Rising the favourite, with a 50% chance of winning, against 24% for the draw and 26% for Las Vegas Lights. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Phoenix Rising have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. Las Vegas Lights have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5.

Phoenix Rising: last 5 results

  • Lat New Mexico United1–2
  • Lat Oakland Roots0–3
  • Lvs El Paso Locomotive1–3
  • Wvs FC Tulsa2–1
  • Dat Monterey Bay1–1

Las Vegas Lights: last 5 results

  • Wvs San Antonio1–0
  • Lat Sacramento Republic2–3
  • Dvs Hartford Athletic1–1
  • Wat Orange County SC2–0
  • Lvs New Mexico United1–2
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct 02:00 UTC.