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Phoenix Rising vs Lexington prediction

USL Championship · Sunday, 25 October 2026, 02:00 UTC · Wild Horse Pass Stadium

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Phoenix Rising to win.

Phoenix Rising39%
Draw26%
Lexington35%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals74%
  • Both teams to score73%
  • Double chance: Phoenix Rising or Lexington74%

Match preview

Phoenix Rising host Lexington in a USL Championship match on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 02:00 UTC at Wild Horse Pass Stadium. Our model makes Phoenix Rising the favourite, with a 39% chance of winning, against 26% for the draw and 35% for Lexington. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Phoenix Rising have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5. Lexington have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5.

Phoenix Rising: last 5 results

  • Wat Orange County SC3–1
  • Wvs Las Vegas Lights3–2
  • Lat New Mexico United1–2
  • Lat Oakland Roots0–3
  • Lvs El Paso Locomotive1–3

Lexington: last 5 results

  • Wat Las Vegas Lights5–3
  • Dvs FC Tulsa0–0
  • Wvs El Paso Locomotive3–1
  • Wat Monterey Bay3–2
  • Wvs Orange County SC6–0
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sun 25 Oct 02:00 UTC.