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Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku prediction

Premyer Liqa · Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 UTC · Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Qarabag to win (limited data this season, so treat it with caution).

Qarabag39%
Draw25%
Neftchi Baku36%
  • Over 2.5 goals57%
  • Both teams to score60%
  • Double chance: Qarabag or Neftchi Baku75%

Match preview

Qarabag host Neftchi Baku in a Premyer Liqa match on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. Our model makes Qarabag the favourite, with a 39% chance of winning, against 25% for the draw and 36% for Neftchi Baku. There is limited data on these teams this season, so this is a lower-confidence call. Qarabag have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5. Neftchi Baku have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.

Qarabag: last 5 results

  • Wat Imisli FK2–0
  • Wvs Safa Baku1–0
  • Dat Zira1–1
  • Wvs Araz3–2
  • Wat Sumqayıt1–0

Neftchi Baku: last 5 results

  • Dvs Sabah FA0–0
  • Wat Qabala3–0
  • Wat Imisli FK3–2
  • Wvs Safa Baku4–1
  • Lat Zira0–1
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sat 17 Oct 15:00 UTC.