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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction

UEFA Champions League · Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Real Madrid to win.

Real Madrid72%
Draw16%
RB Leipzig12%

Most likely score: 3–1

  • Over 2.5 goals72%
  • Both teams to score64%
  • Double chance: Real Madrid or draw88%

Match preview

Real Madrid host RB Leipzig in a UEFA Champions League match on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 19:00 UTC. Our model makes Real Madrid the favourite, with a 72% chance of winning, against 16% for the draw and 12% for RB Leipzig. The most likely scoreline is 3–1. Real Madrid have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5. RB Leipzig have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5.

Real Madrid: last 5 results

  • Wat AS Roma4–3
  • Wvs Villarreal1–0
  • Lat Atletico Madrid1–2
  • Wat Elche3–2
  • Wvs Rayo Vallecano4–1

RB Leipzig: last 5 results

  • Lat Bayern München1–6
  • Wvs PSV Eindhoven1–0
  • Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt6–0
  • Lat Bayer Leverkusen0–2
  • Wvs Hamburger SV5–0
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Wed 21 Oct 19:00 UTC.