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Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction

La Liga · Saturday, 10 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · Santiago Bernabéu Stadium, Madrid

Full time

Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal

Our pick (Real Madrid) was correct.

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Real Madrid to win.

Real Madrid67%
Draw19%
Villarreal14%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals65%
  • Both teams to score59%
  • Double chance: Real Madrid or draw86%
  • Under 9.5 corners53%

Match preview

Real Madrid host Villarreal in a La Liga match on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 19:00 UTC at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium. Our model makes Real Madrid the favourite, with a 67% chance of winning, against 19% for the draw and 14% for Villarreal. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Real Madrid have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. Villarreal have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5.

Real Madrid: last 5 results

  • Lat Atletico Madrid1–2
  • Wat Elche3–2
  • Wvs Rayo Vallecano4–1
  • Wvs Inter2–1
  • Lat Real Betis0–1

Villarreal: last 5 results

  • Wvs Levante3–1
  • Wat Malaga3–1
  • Lvs Real Betis1–2
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund2–3
  • Lvs Deportivo La Coruna2–3
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sat 10 Oct 19:00 UTC.