Rio Ave vs Nacional prediction
Primeira Liga · Sunday, 11 October 2026, 14:30 UTC · Estádio dos Arcos, Condi Town
Full time
Rio Ave 3–2 Nacional
Our pick (Rio Ave) was correct.
Our prediction
Our model's pick: Rio Ave to win.
Rio Ave40%
Draw29%
Nacional31%
Most likely score: 1–0
- Under 2.5 goals56%
- Both teams to score50%
- Double chance: Rio Ave or Nacional71%
- Over 9.5 corners63%
Match preview
Rio Ave host Nacional in a Primeira Liga match on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 14:30 UTC at Estádio dos Arcos. Our model makes Rio Ave the favourite, with a 40% chance of winning, against 29% for the draw and 31% for Nacional. The most likely scoreline is 1–0. Rio Ave have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. Nacional have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 5.
Rio Ave: last 5 results
- Lat Alverca0–1
- Dvs Estrela3–3
- Lat Santa Clara0–4
- Lvs Sporting CP0–4
- Wat Estoril2–0
Nacional: last 5 results
- Lvs Famalicao0–4
- Lvs Alverca1–3
- Lat Sporting CP0–2
- Lvs Estrela2–3
- Lat Vitória SC0–1
18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct 14:30 UTC.