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South Melbourne vs Melbourne Victory prediction

Australia Cup · Saturday, 10 October 2026, 08:35 UTC · AAMI Park, Melbourne

Full time

South Melbourne 1–1 Melbourne Victory

Our pick (Melbourne Victory) was not correct.

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Melbourne Victory to win (limited data this season, so treat it with caution).

South Melbourne28%
Draw18%
Melbourne Victory54%

Most likely score: 2–3

  • Over 2.5 goals85%
  • Both teams to score80%
  • Double chance: South Melbourne or Melbourne Victory82%

Match preview

South Melbourne host Melbourne Victory in a Australia Cup match on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 08:35 UTC at AAMI Park. Our model makes Melbourne Victory the favourite, with a 54% chance of winning, against 18% for the draw and 28% for South Melbourne. There is limited data on these teams this season, so this is a lower-confidence call. South Melbourne have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. Melbourne Victory have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5.

South Melbourne: last 5 results

  • Wvs Lions3–1
  • Lat Oakleigh Cannons1–2
  • Wvs Heidelberg United2–1
  • Lat Sunshine Georgies0–1
  • Wat Preston Lions2–1

Melbourne Victory: last 5 results

  • Dat Viettel1–1
  • Wat Sydney2–0
  • Wat APIA Leichhardt Tigers1–0
  • Dat Western Sydney Wanderers1–1
  • Wat Kingborough Lions4–0
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sat 10 Oct 08:35 UTC.