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Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction

Championship · Sunday, 11 October 2026, 11:00 UTC · St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Full time

Southampton 1–0 Portsmouth

Our pick (Southampton) was correct.

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Southampton to win.

Southampton59%
Draw23%
Portsmouth18%

Most likely score: 2–1

  • Over 2.5 goals60%
  • Both teams to score55%
  • Double chance: Southampton or draw82%
  • Over 9.5 corners69%

Match preview

Southampton host Portsmouth in a Championship match on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 11:00 UTC at St. Mary's Stadium. Our model makes Southampton the favourite, with a 59% chance of winning, against 23% for the draw and 18% for Portsmouth. The most likely scoreline is 2–1. Southampton have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. Portsmouth have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5.

Southampton: last 5 results

  • Lat Wrexham1–2
  • Wvs Bristol City4–1
  • Wvs Swansea3–1
  • Dat Lincoln1–1
  • Dat Birmingham1–1

Portsmouth: last 5 results

  • Dvs Blackburn2–2
  • Dat Charlton0–0
  • Wvs Cardiff2–0
  • Lvs Derby0–2
  • Lat Bristol City1–2
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Sun 11 Oct 11:00 UTC.