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Sturm Graz vs Marseille prediction

UEFA Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026, 16:45 UTC · Merkur-Arena, Graz

Our prediction

Our model's pick: Marseille to win.

Sturm Graz29%
Draw27%
Marseille44%

Most likely score: 0–1

  • Under 2.5 goals67%
  • Not both teams to score60%
  • Double chance: Sturm Graz or Marseille73%

Match preview

Sturm Graz host Marseille in a UEFA Europa League match on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 16:45 UTC at Merkur-Arena. Our model makes Marseille the favourite, with a 44% chance of winning, against 27% for the draw and 29% for Sturm Graz. The most likely scoreline is 0–1. Sturm Graz have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. Marseille have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5.

Sturm Graz: last 5 results

  • Wvs Grazer AK6–1
  • Lat Bournemouth0–3
  • Wat Austria Vienna2–0
  • Wvs Floridsdorfer AC3–1
  • Lat Red Bull Salzburg0–3

Marseille: last 5 results

  • Wat Angers5–2
  • Lvs Olympiakos Piraeus0–1
  • Wat Estac Troyes2–0
  • Lvs Paris Saint Germain1–2
  • Lat Beşiktaş1–4
Open the full match centre: lineups, stats & head-to-head

18+. Predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment, not betting advice; no outcome is guaranteed. Kick-off Thu 22 Oct 16:45 UTC.